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Lesson 3 of 5 / Variation, selection and species

Read a change across generations

Does a higher allele frequency prove why it changed?

In this lesson: Explain evolution through natural selection and distinguish a population change from evidence for its cause.

About 5 min

The key ideaNatural selection can change allele frequencies over generations. A frequency change documents population change, while a causal explanation also needs evidence of inherited differences and unequal reproductive success.

Explore the idea

Count copies, not just visible individuals

100 diploid individualsAA20Aa60aa20A copies = 20 x 2 + 60100 / 200 = 50% A

AA contributes two A copies, Aa contributes one, and aa contributes none. The 100 individuals carry 200 allele copies at this locus.

Original teaching data. Green marks A copies and purple marks a copies; the bar does not show phenotype frequency.

Explanation

Evolution can be described as a change in inherited characteristics of populations across generations; changes in allele frequencies provide one way of measuring it. An individual grows, develops or responds to its environment, but does not evolve a population-wide allele frequency during its own lifetime.

Natural selection links inherited variation to differential reproductive success. When a variant helps its carriers leave more descendants in a particular environment, its alleles can increase in frequency. Repeated selection over generations can produce a population better suited to that environment.

An allele frequency counts copies of an allele, not just individuals showing a dominant phenotype. In a diploid population with 20 AA, 60 Aa and 20 aa individuals, there are 100 A copies among 200 allele copies, so the A frequency is 50%. The Aa individuals each contribute one A and one a.

A before-and-after difference is not, on its own, proof that natural selection caused it. Sampling, migration and chance can also affect measured frequencies. A strong selection account identifies an environmental pressure and evidence that an inherited difference changed reproductive success. No Hardy-Weinberg calculation is needed for this H1 explanation.

Step by step
  1. 1

    Count allele copies

    Two copies per diploid individual at this locus; heterozygotes contribute one of each.

  2. 2

    Compare generations

    Use frequencies rather than confusing allele counts with phenotype percentages.

  3. 3

    Evaluate the explanation

    Ask what evidence links the pressure to unequal reproduction.

Worked example

Calculate a model frequency change

An original population model changes from 20 AA, 60 Aa, 20 aa to 40 AA, 40 Aa, 20 aa. Calculate A frequency in each generation.

One way to explain it

Initially, A copies = 2(20) + 60 = 100 out of 200, or 50%. Later, A copies = 2(40) + 40 = 120 out of 200, or 60%. This is a 10 percentage-point increase. It does not alone identify the cause.

Why this answer works
  • Count both A copies in AA and one in Aa.
  • Divide by total allele copies in each generation.
  • Separate the measured change from the proposed mechanism.
Is this true? "If a dominant phenotype occurs in 80% of individuals, the dominant allele frequency must be 80%."

Dominant phenotypes may include both homozygotes and heterozygotes. Allele frequency requires allele counts or sufficient genotype information.

Try a question

What additional observation most directly supports selection as the cause of a frequency rise?
You can return to this lesson any time.