Policies to achieve balance of payments stability

G3 Economics - syllabus K343, 2027

A government can reduce a current account deficit by lowering the exchange rate, cutting spending on imports, raising competitiveness or using protection.

Exchange rate: a lower exchange rate makes exports cheaper and imports dearer. Exports rise and imports fall, so the deficit narrows. But dearer imports can push up prices.

Fiscal and monetary policy: higher taxes, less government spending or higher interest rates cut total spending, including spending on imports. But they also slow growth and can cost jobs.

Supply-side policy: training, new machines and better technology help firms make better goods at lower cost, so exports sell better. This lasts longest, but it takes years.

Protection: tariffs and quotas cut imports. But they raise prices, other countries may hit back, and local firms do not get any better. To reduce a surplus, the same tools can be used the other way round.

Exchange rate
Lower rate: exports cheaper, imports dearer; risks inflation.
Fiscal / monetary
Reduce spending on imports; slows growth.
Supply-side
Raise competitiveness; slow but lasting.
Protection
Cuts imports; higher prices and retaliation.

Worked example: Choosing a policy for a deficit

A country has a large, lasting current account deficit because its exports are uncompetitive.

  1. Quick fix: allow the currency to depreciate, making exports cheaper.
  2. Risk: imported food and fuel become dearer, raising inflation.
  3. Lasting fix: supply-side policies to raise productivity and quality.
  4. Avoid relying on tariffs: they may lead trading partners to retaliate.

Watch out for this

Cutting imports is the only way to reduce a current account deficit.

Raising exports, through a lower exchange rate or more competitive firms, can also reduce the deficit, and is usually less harmful.

Check your understanding

Which policy is most likely to reduce a current account deficit in the long run without harming trading partners?

  1. Supply-side policies to raise productivity and export quality
  2. A tariff on all imports
  3. Cutting interest rates

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